Displaying results 1 - 8 of 8
-
Tau-leaped Particle Learning
Content Type: Abstract
Development of effective policy interventions to stem disease outbreaks requires knowledge of the current state of affairs, e.g. how many individuals are currently infected, a strain’s virulence, etc, as well as our uncertainty of these values. A… read more -
Optimal sequential management decisions for influenza outbreaks
Content Type: Abstract
Management policies for influenza outbreaks balance the expected morbidity and mortality costs versus the cost of intervention policies under outbreak parameter uncertainty. Previous approaches have not updated parameter estimates as data arrives… read more -
A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Estimating Influenza Epidemic Severity
Content Type: Abstract
Timely monitoring and prediction of the trajectory of seasonal influenza epidemics allows hospitals and medical centers to prepare for, and provide better service to, patients with influenza. The CDC’s ILINet system collects data on influenza-like… read more -
An exploratory analysis of the 2010 measles outbreak in Zimbabwe
Content Type: Abstract
This report describes an exploratory analysis of the 2009-2010 Zimbabwe measles outbreak based on data publicly available in the World Health Organization's Zimbabwe cholera epidemiological bulletin archive. As of December 12th 2010, the outbreak… read more -
Mixture Likelihood Ratio Scan Statistic for Disease Outbreak Detection
Content Type: Abstract
This article describes the methodology and results of Team #134Ãs submission to the 2007 ISDS Technical Contest. -
A Tool for Interactive Disease Outbreak Visualization, Detection, and Forecasting
Content Type: Abstract
Interactive tools for visualization of disease outbreaks has been improving markedly in the past few years. With the flagships Google Flutrends1 and HealthMap2 providing prime examples. These tools provide interactive access to the general public… read more -
CDCPlot: an Application for Viewing Weekly CDC MMWR Disease Count Data
Content Type: Abstract
The CDC provides data on incidences of diseases on its website (https://data.cdc.gov/). Data is available at national, regional, and state levels, and is uploaded to the CDC’s website on a weekly basis. The CDCPlot web application (available at… read more -
Optimal sequential management decisions for measles outbreaks
Content Type: Abstract
Optimal sequential management of disease outbreaks has been shown to dramatically improve the realized outbreak costs when the number of newly infected and recovered individuals is assumed to be known (1,2). This assumption has been relaxed so that… read more