Optimal sequential management decisions for influenza outbreaks

Description: 

Management policies for influenza outbreaks balance the expected morbidity and mortality costs versus the cost of intervention policies under outbreak parameter uncertainty. Previous approaches have not updated parameter estimates as data arrives or have had a limited set of possible intervention policies. We present a methodology for dynamic determination of optimal policies in a stochastic compartmental model with sequentially updated parameter uncertainty that searches the full set of sequential control strategies.

Objective

This abstract highlights a methodology to build optimal management policy maps for use in influenza outbreaks in small populations.

Primary Topic Areas: 
Original Publication Year: 
2010
Event/Publication Date: 
December, 2010

June 18, 2019

Contact Us

NSSP Community of Practice

Email: syndromic@cste.org

 

This website is supported by Cooperative Agreement # 6NU38OT000297-02-01 Strengthening Public Health Systems and Services through National Partnerships to Improve and Protect the Nation's Health between the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists. Its contents are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of CDC. CDC is not responsible for Section 508 compliance (accessibility) on private websites.

Site created by Fusani Applications