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Displaying results 1 - 8 of 11
  • A prediction market for H5N1 influenza compared with statistical forecasting model

    Content Type: Abstract

    Predictionmarkets have been successfully used to forecast future events in other fields. We adapted this method to provide estimates of the likelihood of H5N1 influenza related events.   Objective The purpose… read more
    … ATY Ho et al.; licensee Emerging Health Threats Journal. www.eht-journal.org 2929 their reliance on surveillance data … evidence from Google. Dartmouth College (2008), http://ww.bocowgill.com/GooglePredictionMarketPaper. pdf. 4 Dvorak P. Best buy …
  • Using a prediction market to forecast dengue fever activity

    Content Type: Abstract

    Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral disease, and there is considerable evidence that case numbers are rising and geographical distribution of the disease is widening within the United States, and around the world.  The accuracy and… read more
    … TK Sell et al.; licensee Emerging Health Threats Journal. www.eht-journal.org 5858 Conclusion The consensus opinion of … flows: Evidence from Google, Dartmouth College (2008). www.bocowgill.com/GooglePredictionMarketPaper.pdf. 4 Dvorak P. Best buy …
  • Evaluating the performance of two alternative geographic surveillance schemes

    Content Type: Abstract

    Influenza-like illness (ILI) data is collected by an Influenza Sentinel Provider Surveillance Network at the state (Iowa, USA) level. Historically, the Iowa Department of Public Health has maintained 19 different influenza sentinel… read more
    … of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA E-mail: gcfairch@gmail.com Objective This paper describes an experiment to evaluate … et al.; licensee Emerging Health Threats Journal. www.eht-journal.org 2020 sites which maximize total … Health Threats Journal G Fairchild et al. 2011, 4:s22 www.eht-journal.org page 2/2 2121 …
  • Changes in the Spatial Distribution of Syphilis

    Content Type: Abstract

    Public health officials and epidemiologists have been attempting to eradicate syphilis for decades, but national incidence rates are again on the rise. It has been suggested that the syphilis epidemic in the US is a "rare example of unforced,… read more
    … *Sean Tolentino E-mail: seanluciotolentino@gmail.com (page number not for citation purpose) Fig. 1. Syphilis …
  • Changes in Alcohol-Related Travel Behavior due to an Under 21 Ordinance

    Content Type: Abstract

    Alcohol abuse is one of the major leading causes of preventable mortality in the United States. Binge drinking or excessive alcohol consumption, categorized as a pattern of drinking that brings a person's blood alcohol concentration to 0.08, has… read more
    … to football Saturdays, where some 50,000 people come to Iowa City to tailgate and attend the Big10 football … 3. City of Iowa City. http://www.icgov.org/site/CMSv2/File/city- Council/under21FAQ.pdf. … http://www.icgov.org/site/CMSv2/File/cityCouncil/under21FAQ.pdf …
  • Clustering of U.S. Cities Based on Mortality from Influenza and Pneumonia

    Content Type: Abstract

    Influenza is a major cause of mortality. In developed countries, mortality is at its highest during winter months, not only as a result of deaths from influenza and pneumonia but also as a result of deaths attributed to other diseases (e.g.… read more
    … Prevention Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr. 2. Bengtsson T, Cavanaugh JE. State-space … 2011, 4: 11077 - DOI: 10.3402/ehtj.v4i0.11077 http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr 1-25 ehtj11702 ehtj_toc ehtj11186 ehtj11114 …
  • Analysis of Zero-Inflated and Overdispersed Time Series: An Application to Syphilis Surveillance in the United States

    Content Type: Abstract

    Time series data involving counts are frequently encountered in many biomedical and public health applications. For example, in disease surveillance, the occurrence of rare infections over time is often monitored by public health officials, and the… read more
    … data in the United States from 1995 to 2009 (http:// www.cdc.gov/mmwr/). During the study period, a high propor- …
  • Inferring Travel from Social Media

    Content Type: Abstract

    The spread of infectious diseases is facilitated by human travel. Infectious diseases are often introduced into a population by travelers and then spread among susceptible individuals. Likewise uninfected susceptible travelers can move into… read more
    … We display intrastate travel by aggregating each user’s con- secutive records within each state and plotting only …