Displaying results 1 - 5 of 5
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Building an automated Bayesian case detection system
Content Type: Abstract
Current practices of automated case detection fall into the extremes of diagnostic accuracy and timeliness. In regards to diagnostic accuracy, electronic laboratory reporting (ELR) is at one extreme and syndromic surveillance is at… read more… immediate, and ELR is delayed 7 days from initial patient visit. A plausible solution, a middle way, to the extremes … mediate, and ELR is delayed 7 days from initial patient visit.1 A plausible solution, a middle way, to the extremes … by summing the posterior probability for flu for each visit. Figure 1 shows chart of percent daily expected ED flu … -
Ellipse-Based Clustering Analysis Using a Time Series Algorithm
Content Type: Abstract
Many cities in the US and the Center for Disease Control and Prevention have deployed biosurveillance systems to monitor regional health status. Biosurveillance systems rely on algorithms that analyze data in temporal domain… read more… copes has MLLR. DISCUSSION The limit of the study is the lack of randomization test and rigorous evaluation. We are … -
A data simulation model using NRDM pharmaceutical sales counts
Content Type: Abstract
In disease surveillance, an outbreak is often present in more than one data type. If each data type is analyzed separately rather than combined, the statistical power to detect an outbreak may suffer because no single data source… read more… 5353 distribution. Third, we combine the sub-nodes back into the original node by adding the allocated counts … -
Challenges in adapting an natural language processing system for real-time surveillance
Content Type: Abstract
We are developing a Bayesian surveillance system for realtime surveillance and characterization of outbreaks that incorporates a variety of data elements, including free-text clinical reports. An existing natural language processing (… read more… caused less by NLP technicalities than they are by the lack of a robust environment for NLP engineering, … -
Estimating the incidence of influenza cases that present to emergency departments
Content Type: Abstract
Our laboratory previously established the value of over-the-counter (OTC) sales data for the early detection of disease outbreaks. We found that thermometer sales (TS) increased significantly and early during influenza (flu) season.… read more… ! TS"region#S"B=A# $ "I=A#"pop"region#=pop"AC## Given the lack of data with which to validate our model in other …