Displaying results 1 - 3 of 3
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Estimating the incidence of influenza cases that present to emergency departments
Content Type: Abstract
Our laboratory previously established the value of over-the-counter (OTC) sales data for the early detection of disease outbreaks. We found that thermometer sales (TS) increased significantly and early during influenza (flu) season.… read more… the following formula, which assumes that TS and ED visits are proportional to population size (pop) and that … of predicting outcomes that are related to flu ED visits based on TS. Our results suggest that the use of TS, … -
Modeling Clinician Detection Time of a Disease Outbreak Due to Inhalational Anthrax
Content Type: Abstract
We developed a probabilistic model of how clinicians are expected to detect a disease outbreak due to an outdoor release of anthrax spores, when the clinicians only have access to traditional clinical information (e.g., no computer-based alerts). We… read more… is only seen by a health care provider once (no return visits) and each clinician diagnoses a given case of IA … -
A Multivariate Bayesian Scan Statistic
Content Type: Abstract
This paper develops a new method for multivariate spatial cluster detection, the ìmultivariate Bayesian scan statisticî (MBSS). MBSS combines information from multiple data streams in a Bayesian framework, enabling faster and more accurate… read more… may include sources such as emergency department (ED) visits, with each stream representing a different chief …