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  • Content Type: Abstract

    The evolution of a communicable disease in a human population is not entirely predictable. However, the spreading process can be assumed to vary smoothly in time. The time-dependent infection process can be linked to observations of… read more
    … the delay is caused by incubation and a (hospital) visit delay, modeled as independent random variables. A … data, the delay is caused by incubation and a (hospital) visit delay, modeled as independent random variables. A … planning. Methods We extend the model by Brookmeyer and Gail, for use with biosurveillance data, by adding a model …
  • Content Type: Abstract

    Previous studies in developed countries showed school absenteeism data can serve as a proxy for monitoring infectious disease activities and facilitates early community outbreak detection. However, absenteeism patterns may differ in developing… read more
    … data were weekly aggregated and sent to Hong Kong, via email for further analysis. Results Implementation of the … Data quality was monitored by occasional onsite school visits by the investigators. A total of 430 students (47.4% … providing the absenteeism data. *Calvin Ka Yeung Cheng E-mail: chengkyc@hku.hk (page number not for citation purpose) …