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Characterization of communicable disease epidemics using bayesian inversion
Content Type: Abstract
The evolution of a communicable disease in a human population is not entirely predictable. However, the spreading process can be assumed to vary smoothly in time. The time-dependent infection process can be linked to observations of… read more… the delay is caused by incubation and a (hospital) visit delay, modeled as independent random variables. A … data, the delay is caused by incubation and a (hospital) visit delay, modeled as independent random variables. A … for use with biosurveillance data, by adding a model for visit delay. The model is also augmented, for use in …