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Inferring Outbreak Characteristics from a Short Observation Period of Symptomatic Patients
Content Type: Abstract
The aerosol release of a pathogen during a bioterrorist incident may not always be caught on environmental sensors - it may be too small, may consist of a preparation that is coarse and heavy (and consequently precipitates quickly) or may simply… read more… accuracy, and hence establishing confidence levels (i.e., error bounds) on these estimates is an major concern. … 12 views Submitted by elamb on Tue, 03/26/2019 - 16:22 … accuracy, and hence establishing confidence levels (i.e., error bounds) on these esti- mates is an major … -
Efficient Large-Scale Network-Based Simulation of Disease Outbreaks
Content Type: Abstract
The effectiveness of public health interventions during a disease outbreak depends on rapid, accurate characterization of the initial outbreak and spread of the pathogen. Computer-based simulation using mathematical models… read more… National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000. Efficient Large-scale Network-based … model in inverse problems to characterize the source of a dis- ease outbreak. Once calibrated, it can predict disease …