Displaying results 1 - 2 of 2
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Characterization of communicable disease epidemics using bayesian inversion
Content Type: Abstract
The evolution of a communicable disease in a human population is not entirely predictable. However, the spreading process can be assumed to vary smoothly in time. The time-dependent infection process can be linked to observations of… read more… the delay is caused by incubation and a (hospital) visit delay, modeled as independent random variables. A … data, the delay is caused by incubation and a (hospital) visit delay, modeled as independent random variables. A … for use with biosurveillance data, by adding a model for visit delay. The model is also augmented, for use in … -
Efficient Large-Scale Network-Based Simulation of Disease Outbreaks
Content Type: Abstract
The effectiveness of public health interventions during a disease outbreak depends on rapid, accurate characterization of the initial outbreak and spread of the pathogen. Computer-based simulation using mathematical models… read more… The model has been used to simulate a smallpox at- tack affecting two locations in a model of Portland, Oregon …