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  • Content Type: Abstract

    One criterion for evaluating the effectiveness of a surveillance system is the system’s positive predictive value. To our knowledge few studies have described the positive predictive value of syndromic surveillance signals… read more
    … departments (EDs) in King County. EDs send data on all visits that occurred the previous day. Aberrations in the … we requested follow-up (positive predictive value 28.1%); 26/61 reports were not otherwise reported to Public Health. … dependent upon the prevalence of disease, these results may differ in other settings. REFERENCES [1] Centers for …
  • Content Type: Abstract

    Varied approaches have been used by syndromic surveillance systems for aberration detection. However, the performance of these methods has been evaluated only across a small range of epidemic characteristics.   Objective… read more
    … syndromes having average daily counts of 2, 10, 35 and 50 visits per day. We then simulated epidemics by creating all … 3.84 EWMA (0.4) 28.9% 56.1% 3.71 EWMA (0.9) 27.7% 60.6% 3.70 GLM 30.2% 64.5% 3.61 CONCLUSIONS No single algorithm …