Displaying results 1 - 3 of 3
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in silico Surveillance: Informing Surveillance with Simulation
Content Type: Webinar
Simulations of infectious disease spread have increasingly been used to inform public policy for planning and response to outbreaks. As these techniques have increased in sophistication a wider array of uses becomes appropriate. In particular,… read more… HRO = 0.9(1-p) Shelter = 0.1 Evac = 0.05 HRO = 0.85 N Y N N N Y Y Y Y NN YN YN YN Y N Y N Y N Y N Y Lewis B, … ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● 0 200 400 600 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 0 Clinic visits and Recurrence Interval − Real HPHC data Days V is it … or specificity or “type” of outbreak Role of Simulation !26 10 0 20 0 30 0 40 0 50 0 Simulated ILI Surveillance Date … -
in silico Surveillance: Using Detailed Computer Simulations to Develop and Evaluate Outbreak Detection
Content Type: Abstract
Developing and evaluating outbreak detection is challenging for many reasons. A central difficulty is that the data the detection algorithms are “trained” on are often relatively short historical samples and thus do not represent the full… read more… Once developed, the same dearth of historical data com- plicates evaluation. In systems where only a count of … digital representa- tions, of every person. These agents visit specific loca- tions throughout the area of study and … in realistic urban social networks. Nature. 2004 May 13;429(6988):180-4. Further Information: Bryan Lewis, … -
in silico Surveillance: Highly detailed agent-based models for surveillance system evaluation and design
Content Type: Abstract
Modern public health surveillance systems have great potential for improving public health. However, evaluating the performance of surveillance systems is challenging because examples of baseline disease distribution in the population are limited to… read more… seeking behavior and a surveillance system for outpatient visits. The resulting in silico surveil- lance data contain … specified surveillance system create a data stream of ILI visits. Outbreaks of influenza are artificially inserted … ehtj11115 ehtj11120 ehtj11024 ehtj11060 ehtj11110 26-50 ehtj11034 ehtj11198 ehtj11174 ehtj11048 ehtj11154 …