Displaying results 1 - 2 of 2
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Quantifying Model Form Uncertainty of Epidemic Forecasting Models from Incidence Data
Content Type: Abstract
Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), the ability to quantify the impact of sample-to-sample variations and model misspecification on predictions and forecasts, is a critical aspect of disease surveillance. While quantifying the impact of stochastic… read more -
A Suite of Mechanistic Epidemiological Decision Support Tools
Content Type: Abstract
We present the EpiEarly, EpiGrid, and EpiCast tools for mechanistically-based biological decision support. The range of tools covers coarse-, medium-, and fine-grained models. The coarse-grained, aggregated time-series only data tool (EpiEarly)… read more