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Verma Aman

Many studies evaluate the timeliness and accuracy of outbreak detection algorithms used in syndromic surveillance. Of greater interest, however, is defining the outcome associated with improved detection. In case of a waterborne cryptosporidiosis outbreak, public health interventions are aimed exclusively at preventing new infections, and not at medical treatment of infected individuals. The effectiveness of these interventions in reducing morbidity and mortality will depend on their timeliness, the level of compliance, and the duration of exposure to pathogen. In this work, we use simulation modeling to examine several scenarios of issuing a boil-water advisory (BWA) as a response to outbreak detection through syndromic surveillance, and quantify the possible benefits of earlier interventions.

Objective

To quantitatively assess the benefit of issuing a boil-water advisory for preventing morbidity and mortality from a waterborne outbreak of cryptosporidiosis.

Referenced File
Submitted by uysz on

A new TB case can be classified as: 1) a source case for transmission leading to other, secondary active TB cases; 2) a secondary case, resulting from recent transmission; or 3) an isolated case, uninvolved in recent transmission (i.e. neither source nor recipient). Source and secondary cases require more intense intervention due to their involvement in a chain of transmission; thus, accurate and rapid classification of new patients should help public health personnel to effectively prioritize control activities. However, currently accepted method for the classification, DNA fingerprint analysis, takes many weeks to produce the results; therefore, public health personnel often solely rely on their intuition to identify the case who is most likely to be involved in transmission. Various clinical and socio-demographic features are known to be associated with TB transmission. By using these readily available data at the time of diagnosis, it is possible to rapidly estimate the probabilities of the case being source, secondary, and isolated.

Objective

To develop and validate a prediction model which estimates the probability of a newly diagnosed tuberculosis (TB) case being involved in ongoing chain of transmission, based on the case's clinical and socio-demographic attributes available at the time of diagnosis.

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Submitted by elamb on

Work on vaccination timing and promotion largely precedes the 2009 pandemic. Post-pandemic studies examining the wide range of local vaccination efforts mostly have been limited to surveys assessing the role of administrative strategies, logistical challenges, and perceived deterrents of vaccination [1].

Objective

To assess the effectiveness of a Public Health automated phone campaign to increase vaccination uptake in targeted neighborhoods. To identify alternative predictors of variation in vaccination uptake, specifically to assess the association between vaccination uptake, and weather conditions and day-of-week.

Referenced File
Submitted by elamb on

Tuberculosis (TB) has reemerged as a global health epidemic in recent years. Although several researchers have examined the use of space-time surveillance to detect TB clusters, they have not used genetic information to verify that detected clusters are due to person-to-person transmission. Using genetic fingerprinting data for TB cases, we sought to determine whether detected clusters were due to recent transmission.

 

Objective

This paper describes the utility of prospective spacetime surveillance to detect genetic clusters of TB due to person-to-person spread.

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Submitted by elamb on

The success of public health campaigns in decreasing or eliminating the burden of vaccine-preventable diseases can be undermined by media content influencing vaccine hesitancy in the population. A tool for tracking and describing the ever-growing platforms for such media content can help decide how and where to invest in campaigns to increase public confidence in vaccines. The Vaccine Sentimeter, developed from the Healthmap project, aims to assist public health practitioners in maintaining or improving vaccine coverage through a real-time, online visualization tool of global media content on vaccines.

Objective The current analysis describes the scope and trends in United States content from the Vaccine Sentimeter’s results, while seeking to examine any possible links between media content, vaccine coverage, and reported vaccine adverse events in the country.

Submitted by teresa.hamby@d… on
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