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Using Age as Space: Looking for Citywide Age Clusters of Influenza

Description

There has been much recent interest in using disease signatures to better recognize disease outbreaks. Conversely, the metrics used to describe these signatures can also be used to better characterize the outbreaks. Recent work at the New York City Department of Health has shown the ability to identify characteristic age-specific patterns during influenza outbreaks. One issue that remains is how to implement a search for such patterns using prospective outbreak detection tools such as SatScan.

A potential approach to this problem arises from another currently active research area: the simultaneous use of multiple datastreams. One form of this is to disaggregate a data stream with respect to a third variable such as age. Two drawbacks to this approach are that the categories used to make the streams have to be defined a priori and that relationships between the streams cannot be exploited. Furthermore, the resulting description is less rich as it describes outbreaks in a few non-overlapping age-specific streams. It would be desirable to look for age specific patterns with the age groupings implicitly defined.

 

Objective

This paper presents an implementation of a citywide SatScan analysis that uses age as a one-dimensional spatial variable. The resulting clusters identify age-specific clusters of respiratory and fever/flu syndromes in the New York City Emergency Department Data.

Submitted by elamb on