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Infectious Disease

Description

Bordetella Pertussis outbreaks cause morbidity in all age groups, but the infection is most dangerous for young infants. Pertussis is difficult to diagnose, especially in its early stages, and definitive test results are not available for several days. Because of temporal and geographic variability of pertussis outbreaks, delay in diagnostic test results and ramifications of incorrect management decisions at the point of care, pertussis represents a prototypical disease where realtime public health surveillance data might inform, guide and improve medical decision making. Previously, we showed that diagnostic accuracy for meningitis can be improved when information about recent, local disease incidence is accounted for. Here, we quantify the contribution of epidemiologic context to a clinical prediction model for pertussis using a state public health data stream.

 

Objective

To explore the integration of epidemiological context – current population-level disease incidence data – into a clinical prediction model for pertussis.

Submitted by elamb on
Description

The Internet has created an information revolution that spans across all knowledge domains and removes temporal and geographic barriers. Various disparate tools allow individuals to communicate with each other across these barriers. We also have an abundance of electronic resources containing health information locked inside free text components. The lack of integration of these tools and electronic resources has prevented harnessing of information for use in integrated and novel ways. We developed an application for 'Semantic Processing and Integration of Distributed Electronic Resources for Epidemiology' or EpiSPIDER (http://www.epispider.org), an integrative web-based information processing system that uses these tools and electronic resources to create an information environment for enhancing the surveillance of emerging infectious disease threats to global health.

Submitted by elamb on
Description

The increased threat of bioterrorism and naturally occurring diseases, such as pandemic influenza, continually forces public health authorities to review methods for evaluating data and reports. The objective of bio-surveillance is to automatically process large amounts of information in order to rapidly provide the user with a situational awareness. Most systems currently deployed in health departments use only statistical algorithms to filter data for decision-making. These algorithms are capable of high sensitivity, but this sensitivity comes at the cost of excessive false positives [2], especially when multiple syndrome groups and data types are processed.

Objective

An intelligent information fusion approach is proposed to identify and provide early alerting of naturally-occurring disease outbreaks, as well as bioterrorist attacks, while reducing false positives. The proposed system statistically preprocesses information from multiple sources and fuses it in a manner comparable with the domain expert's decision-making process. Currently, system users lower the false alarm rate by "explaining away" the statistical data anomalies with alternative hypotheses derived from external, non-syndromic knowledge. We seek to incorporate this heuristic decision-making into a probabilistic network that accepts the outputs of statistical algorithms in a hybrid model of domain knowledge and data inference.

Submitted by elamb on
Description

On Monday, August 29, 2005, Hurricane Katrina struck the Gulf Coast. Outside of the affected areas of TX, LA, MS, and AL, GA received the largest number of these evacuees, approximately 125,000. By August 30, 2005, GA began receiving a total of approximately 1,300 NDMS patients from flights arriving at Dobbins Air Force Base. Within days, Georgia established 13 shelters for evacuees. Crowded shelters can increase the risk for communicable diseases. In addition, many evacuees left behind needed medications, thus increasing the risk for chronic disease exacerbations.

 

Objective

To assess public health needs among sheltered evacuees, the GA Department of Human Resources, Division of Public Health recommended daily surveillance.

Submitted by elamb on
Description

Surveillance strategies following major natural disasters have varied widely with respect to methods used to collect and analyze data. Following Hurricane Katrina, public health concerns included infectious disease outbreaks, injuries, mental health and exacerbation of preexisting chronic conditions resulting from unprecedented population displacement and disruption of public health services and health-care infrastructure.

 

Objective

This paper describes the public health surveillance response to hurricane Katrina in New Orleans and surrounding Parishes; particularly illustrating the methods, results, and lessons learned for implementing passive, active and electronic syndromic surveillance systems during a major disaster.

Submitted by elamb on
Description

Electronic laboratory-based surveillance can significantly improve the diagnostic specificity and response time of traditional infectious disease surveillance. Under the project “Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study”, we wished to evaluate the application of space-time outbreak detection algorithms utilizing SaTScan to a national database of routinely collected microbiology laboratory data.

 

Objective

This paper describes the application of the WHONET software integrated with SaTScan to the detection of Shigella outbreaks in a national database using a space-time cluster detection algorithm in simulated real-time and comparison of findings to outbreaks reported to the Ministry of Health.

Submitted by elamb on