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Predicting Acute Respiratory Infections from Participatory Data

Description

ARIs have epidemic and pandemic potential. Prediction of presence of ARIs from individual signs and symptoms in existing studies have been based on clinically-sourced data. Clinical data generally represents the most severe cases, and those from locations with access to healthcare institutions. Thus, the viral information that comes from clinical sampling is insufficient to either capture disease incidence in general populations or its predictability from symptoms. Participatory data ā€” information that individuals today can produce on their own ā€” enabled by the ubiquity of digital tools, can help fill this gap by providing self-reported data from the community. Internet-based participatory efforts such as Flu Near You have augmented existing ARI surveillance through early and widespread detection of outbreaks and public health trends.

Objective

To evaluate prediction of laboratory diagnosis of acute respiratory infection (ARI) from participatory data using machine learning models

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