The Child Health Epidemiology Reference Group (CHERG) has predicted around 43 million pneumonia cases in India. It is recognized that for huge nation like India, which accounts for 23% of global pneumonia burden, the national estimates may hide regional disparities. In this context, we have generated Indian state specific burden of severe pneumonia, pneumococcal pneumonia and pneumonia deaths through use of mathematical model.

Objective

This presentation highlights the use of mathematical model to estimate burden of disease in absence surveillance data. We estimated the burden of severe pneumonia, pneumococcal pneumonia and pneumonia deaths in Indian states using a mathematical model through application of vaccine probe methodology and attributable fraction.