Accuracy of EIDSS Software Prognosis on CCHF Natural Foci Activity in Kazakhstan

Active CCHF natural foci were reported in 3 southern regions of Kazakhstan. The CCHF virus reservoir and vectors are ixodic ticks. 3-12 human CCHF cases occur per year; infection occurs through tick bites and CCHF patient blood contact. Prediction of the CCHF epidemiological situation is extremely difficult due to a variety of natural and social factors that directly or indirectly influence development of CCHF outbreaks. Kazakhstan has conducted research of EIDSS software application for processing an array of epidemiological data and situation prediction in certain regions of Kazakhstan. Objective: Evaluation of accuracy of the population epidemic risks prognosis for 2013 in the natural foci of Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF) in the Republic of Kazakhstan with application of Electronic Integrated Disease Surveillance System (EIDSS) version 4.